Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.495164 0.550203 0.609593 0.678563 0.756609 0.842360 0.943948
2025-04-06 0.404474 0.479293 0.566180 0.675058 0.808566 0.967859 1.173673
2025-04-13 0.341465 0.421624 0.519226 0.647780 0.814078 1.023881 1.311686
2025-04-20 0.310050 0.396093 0.505072 0.654766 0.857442 1.125761 1.513652
2025-04-27 0.285841 0.375922 0.493934 0.662036 0.898892 1.226103 1.721870
2025-05-04 0.265514 0.358205 0.483306 0.667361 0.936143 1.322075 1.932531
2025-05-11 0.247282 0.341272 0.471551 0.668896 0.966614 1.409500 2.138560
2025-05-18 0.233546 0.329197 0.465115 0.676724 1.005951 1.512554 2.379226
2025-05-25 0.215232 0.308890 0.444835 0.661535 1.007800 1.556578 2.527762
2025-06-01 0.205573 0.300488 0.441283 0.671221 1.048931 1.666243 2.798355
2025-06-08 0.193318 0.287177 0.429107 0.665949 1.064735 1.734806 3.004125
2025-06-15 0.184749 0.278862 0.423906 0.671194 1.097998 1.835457 3.279161
2025-06-22 0.173420 0.265639 0.410284 0.661859 1.106213 1.894429 3.486388
2025-06-29 0.164139 0.255091 0.400247 0.657757 1.123212 1.970924 3.737978
2025-07-06 0.151374 0.238047 0.378349 0.631323 1.097366 1.964923 3.821689
2025-07-13 0.145910 0.232681 0.375522 0.638102 1.132983 2.078794 4.168813
2025-07-20 0.140915 0.227753 0.373038 0.645162 1.169526 2.197870 4.543167
2025-07-27 0.135967 0.222575 0.369728 0.650331 1.202679 2.313256 4.925242
2025-08-03 0.130784 0.216664 0.364708 0.651821 1.228517 2.415948 5.292462
2025-08-10 0.126893 0.212774 0.363007 0.659421 1.267227 2.549695 5.753063
2025-08-17 0.119996 0.203145 0.350307 0.644674 1.258360 2.578993 5.960660
2025-08-24 0.116961 0.200299 0.349878 0.654078 1.301122 2.727375 6.492537
2025-08-31 0.112151 0.193944 0.342513 0.648961 1.312094 2.804358 6.849355